Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 9.195335 10.525400 11.994824 13.741041 15.762812 18.033762 20.783249
2025-08-10 7.261018 8.944799 10.955965 13.544053 16.799140 20.774172 26.021965
2025-08-17 6.109396 7.931085 10.232122 13.368937 17.560131 23.003765 30.669536
2025-08-24 5.281321 7.152187 9.624790 13.157778 18.118767 24.899468 34.976613
2025-08-31 4.631922 6.503034 9.073597 12.898274 18.504932 26.516394 38.999044
2025-09-07 4.346726 6.309237 9.103787 13.421442 20.010869 29.828910 45.827315
2025-09-14 4.009093 5.993915 8.911972 13.575223 20.954733 32.374009 51.755950
2025-09-21 3.676997 5.646798 8.628020 13.541235 21.578903 34.457651 57.157832
2025-09-28 3.363861 5.294430 8.295176 13.383075 21.966537 36.172831 62.112677
2025-10-05 3.219874 5.192696 8.341308 13.833252 23.387986 39.725255 70.638831
2025-10-12 3.069965 5.065015 8.329055 14.176126 24.648920 43.117805 79.273183
2025-10-19 2.966176 5.002870 8.416144 14.691254 26.254649 47.274127 89.824338
2025-10-26 2.721716 4.682370 8.040089 14.359400 26.307962 48.634428 95.235027
2025-11-02 2.523435 4.425622 7.752572 14.158921 26.581579 50.431545 101.739755
2025-11-09 2.348102 4.194500 7.489600 13.975477 26.861499 52.257031 108.515442
2025-11-16 2.184717 3.971326 7.221399 13.754038 27.038021 53.883752 115.058870
2025-11-23 2.030168 3.751945 6.941585 13.481910 27.079925 55.229633 121.143250
2025-11-30 1.991448 3.748267 7.069003 14.030548 28.866276 60.414789 136.572458
2025-12-07 1.908818 3.652804 7.010135 14.191830 29.846205 63.966268 148.675608
2025-12-14 1.810558 3.518781 6.863951 14.156184 30.392311 66.611991 158.953268
2025-12-21 1.706305 3.364829 6.665446 13.990311 30.630397 68.580124 167.814411
2025-12-28 1.673533 3.353698 6.757490 14.462460 32.361653 74.200245 186.748794
2026-01-04 1.631123 3.319174 6.797577 14.822105 33.867730 79.453321 205.486272